Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffIA9a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.2%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 51 minutes
En retard1 juin 24, 12:28 UTC1 janv. 36, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a military operation against Taiwan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill someone detonate a giant EMP across the US to slow AI progress by 2030
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Criteria for Resolution:
- Military Operation: There must be an official, organized military operation explicitly aimed at slowing down the development of artificial intelligence.
- Confirmation of Intent:
- - The intent to slow down AI development must be explicitly stated by the military or governmental authorities responsible for the operation.
- - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.
- Nature of the Operation: