Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
IAOne-Off2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 73.9%
Prévisionnistes
61
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète30 mars 23, 11:40 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Must be confirmed in a reputable news source what the killer's motives were.
Marchés ouverts
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- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
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- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
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- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 74% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Must be confirmed in a reputable news source what the killer's motives were.