Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
12 août 24, 12:18 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US experience a recession during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US experience a recession during 2027?
Manifold MarketsThe US will experience stagflation before the end of 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Trump economic boom?
KalshiDoom or Boom? Human Population by 2100
Manifold MarketsWill 2025 be referred to as the start of the second Great Depression?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This question resolves as yes if, for any 12-month period before 2030, the change in the US CPI-U (as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics) is negative, and the real GDP growth (as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis) is greater than 5%.
