Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 76.4%
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8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète22 août 24, 18:18 UTC2 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will at least 3 American cities reach a population of 1 million for the first time before 2030?
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KalshiRègles
What will the population of San Francisco be in 2030?
- San Francisco’s projected population in 2030 is estimated to reach around 913,000, reflecting moderate growth compared to previous decades.
- This growth rate is influenced by demographic shifts, with expected increases in the older population (age 50+) and younger residents (under age 20), while the number of people aged 20-34 may slightly decline.
- The city’s demographic composition is also anticipated to change, with growth in the Asian and multiracial populations, while the number of Black residents is expected to decrease.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : What will the population of San Francisco be in 2030?