Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
not before 2030 36.1%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète19 mai 24, 23:35 UTC2 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By what year will a car have driven between New York and San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat?
Manifold MarketsWill the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?
Manifold MarketsSan Francisco vs Los Angeles R
KalshiSan Francisco vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns
KalshiSan Francisco vs Los Angeles: Spread
KalshiRègles
Completed means structure at 130 Townsend is larger than existing structure there and is open for leasing or occupied.
- A five story office project was approved in 2021.
- As of https://sfyimby.com/2024/05/extension-request-for-130-townsend-street-in-soma-san-francisco.html the developer hopes to extend the approval by 3 years.
- Updates will likely appear at https://sfyimby.com/category/130-townsend-street
- [link preview]
Marchés ouverts
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 482,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 422,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,7 k €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 189,6 k €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed ?
- Manifold Markets cote not before 2030 à 36% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand 130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed sera-t-il résolu ?
- 130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment 130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Completed means structure at 130 Townsend is larger than existing structure there and is open for leasing or occupied.