PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 200-219
Résolu: 18 sept. 2026, 18:03
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
200-219
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
37%
SurpriseAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 19 sept. 2026, 12:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Chronologie des Probabilités
120-1391%
140-15918%
220-2399%
160-1799%
180-19994%
320-3390%
200-219100%
240-2594%
260-2794%
280-2991%
200-219Gagné
<20Perdu
20-39Perdu
40-59Perdu
60-79Perdu
80-99Perdu
100-119Perdu
120-139Perdu
140-159Perdu
160-179Perdu
180-199Perdu
220-239Perdu
240-259Perdu
260-279Perdu
280-299Perdu
300-319Perdu
320-339Perdu
340-359Perdu
360-379Perdu
380-399Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketInk FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWhich companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.