Will the North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become extinct in the current century?
One-OffScienceManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 81.5%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard22 avr. 24, 08:38 UTC31 déc. 99, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the wild population of North Atlantic Right Whale (Eubalaena glacialis) become Extinct by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill the Blue Whale (Balaenoptera musculus) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Humpback Whale (Megaptera novaeangliae) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Sperm Whale (Physeter macrocephalus) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRègles
The North Atlantic Right Whale is a species of balean whale native to the northern atlantic.
- With 200-250 mature individuals (IUCN estimate in 2020) it is probably the most endangered large whale species.
- This market will resolve YES if the North Atlantic Right Whale is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Atlantic_right_whale
- IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Critically Endangered
- https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/41712/178589687