Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 50.5%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète10 août 24, 16:04 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman?
Manifold MarketsWhich month will Starship HLS land on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRègles
https://www.theguardian.com/science/article/2024/aug/10/scientists-slam-indefensible-axing-of-nasas-450m-viper-moon-rover
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 85,3 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Volume total
- 153,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 39,2 k €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 409,9 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the NASA Viper rover land on the moon before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the NASA Viper rover land on the moon before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the NASA Viper rover land on the moon before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will the NASA Viper rover land on the moon before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://www.theguardian.com/science/article/2024/aug/10/scientists-slam-indefensible-axing-of-nasas-450m-viper-moon-rover