Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleYES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon 35.9%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète22 août 25, 03:06 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This resolves on China’s first crewed mission that successfully lands taikonauts on the lunar surface (soft landing achieved; mere lunar orbit or aborts don’t count).
- Outcome is determined from official post-mission reports/broadcasts by CMSA/Xinhua/CCTV; if unavailable, reputable wire services (Reuters/AP) may be used.
- “the named outcome” if a woman is the first to step onto the lunar surface on that mission, per official timeline/coverage.
- “the named outcome” if a woman steps onto the surface after a male crewmate from the same mission has already done so.
- “the named outcome” if a woman is assigned to that mission but does not ride the lander and stays in lunar orbit.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? ?
- Manifold Markets cote YES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon à 36% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria