Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026?
One-OffGéopolitiqueCommoditiesSpacePolitique21jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.7%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète31 mars 26, 16:22 UTC30 sept. 26, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027?
Manifold MarketsCoeur Mining gold production in fiscal 2026
KalshiCoeur Mining gold production in Q3
KalshiWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
PredictItRègles
This market resolves YES if, by September 30, 2026, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.
- YES if by September 30, 2026:
- Credible reporting confirms junta aerial bombardment of RE mining sites, processing facilities, or RE-specific transport infrastructure in Chipwi/Pangwa/Momeik
- No confirmed airstrikes on RE mining sites by September 30, 2026
- Airstrikes occurred near but not targeting mining operations
- Resolution sources (priority order):
Marchés ouverts
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if, by September 30, 2026, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.