Will the generation after generation alpha also be defined by a technological rather than political/cultural change?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffSanté et médecineMétéoChine3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.9%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète30 janv. 24, 16:01 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
Manifold MarketsWill China win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?
Manifold MarketsShould smart, ethical people go into AI rather than climate tech? (subsidized)
Manifold MarketsWho will win the clash of civilizations.
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
My layman understanding is that the generations in US culture are as follows:
- Lost generation: defined by being of serving age during WW1.
- Greatest generation: defined by being of serving age during WW2.
- Silent generation: defined by growing up in the poverty of the Great Depression.
- Baby Boomers: defined by growing up during the post-WW2 US economic explosion and resulting baby boom.
- Generation X: defined by growing up during the 60s/70s/80s explosion of artistic and political counter-cultures.
