Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?
ChinaOne-OffTechHealth & MedicineWeatherEurope3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Find a room temperature superconductor, highly efficient photovoltaic cells, or an ultra-strong lightweight material 29.2%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
1 mars 24, 10:50 UTC1 janv. 30, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich two parties will get the most seats in Parliament following the next UK general election after 2025?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?
KalshiWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiFDA decision: Ivonescimab by Summit Therapeutics (in 2026)
KalshiRègles
Which of the following breakthroughs will Google Deepmind (or one of their spinoff companies like Isomorphic Labs) achieve by 2030?
- In order to qualify as true:
- For finding a cure for cancer, Alzheimer's, or diabetes, the drug has to be approved by a major country's regulatory authority, such as the FDA in the United States, EMA in the European Union, or CFDA in China, indicating it has passed all clinical trials and is deemed safe and effective for public use.
- For discovering a room temperature superconductor, highly efficient photovoltaic cells, or an ultra-strong lightweight material, the materials have to be commercialized, meaning they are available on the market and being used or integrated into products or systems within industries such as energy, construction, or electronics.
