Prévision communautaire actuelle
USA 66%En tête parmi 9 options
USA 66%Prévisionnistes
45
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète16 mars 24, 23:17 UTC1 janv. 41, 04:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich High-risk threshold as defined by OpenAI will be reached first by an LLM, whether or not that LLM is released?
Manifold MarketsWill we have a scenario like "2030: Takeover" as defined in AI 2027 before the end of Q1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_general_intelligence