Will we have a scenario like "2030: Takeover" as defined in AI 2027 before the end of Q1, 2030?
One-OffIA3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.9%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 51 minutes
En retard6 juil. 26, 18:48 UTC31 mars 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Manifold MarketsWhich High-risk threshold as defined by OpenAI will be reached first by an LLM, whether or not that LLM is released?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRègles
Per the "2030: Takeover" scenario in the "Race" ending of AI2027: Robot economy taking over the majority of the world's land area, designated zones for humans, ASI tiling the world with computronium. https://ai-2027.com/race#:~:text=2030:-,Takeover,-By%20early%202030
