Who will win the clash of civilizations.
GéopolitiqueOne-OffSanté et médecineMétéoRussie / UkraineChineManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAnglos🇺🇸 26.8%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète10 mars 25, 23:11 UTC31 déc. 50, 14:59 UTC
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Règles
Samuel P. Huntington's "Clash of Civilizations" thesis, introduced in a 1993 Foreign Affairs article and expanded in his 1996 book, proposes that post-Cold War conflicts would primarily arise from cultural and religious differences between civilizations rather than ideological or economic factors.
- Huntington identified several major civilizations including Western, Islamic, Sinic (Chinese), Hindu, Japanese, Latin American, Orthodox, and potentially African.
- The thesis suggests that as non-Western civilizations gain economic, military, and political power, they increasingly assert their cultural values and reject Western ones.
- This creates potential for conflict along the "fault lines" between civilizations.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on whether a clear "winner" emerges in what could be characterized as a clash of civilizations by 2050.
