Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffDivertissementRussia / Ukraine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète18 juil. 26, 16:24 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which of the following papacy-related events will occur first?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
Manifold MarketsWhen in 2026 will US federal government present a new narrative, with documentation, regarding UAP/UFO events?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRègles
This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met:
- On 12 August 2026, the Russia–Ukraine war officially ends through a peace agreement signed in Kharkiv.
- By 1 December 2026, Russia is replaced by a newly established Eurasian Union formed together with post-Soviet states.
- Relations between the United States and the new Eurasian Union have measurably improved compared with earlier in 2026.
- On 1 December 2026, the final broadcast in Azerbaijan is the film Stalin's Head.
- On the same day in Russia, private television channels broadcast Tri Bogatyry i Morskoy Tsar, children's channels broadcast episode 72 of Skazochny Patrol, and Russia's Patriotic March is played.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.1pt99%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 860,6 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 58,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 326 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.4pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt35%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+2.0pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt4%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+0.7pt97%
- September 25+2.0pt88%
- September 23+7.0pt76%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 99% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? doit être résolu le 30 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met: