Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 98.8%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète17 juin 26, 22:04 UTC16 sept. 26, 18:25 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill a majority of the Fed vote to raise rates by Sept. 16?
PredictItWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastEx🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExRègles
This market resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee lowers the target range for the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in the statement issued for the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting.
- Use the change announced in the first official FOMC statement or decision release tied to the September 15-16, 2026 meeting.
- YES if the target range is at least 25 basis points below the range in effect immediately before that meeting.
- NO if the target range is unchanged or is lowered by less than 25 basis points.
- Do not use the chair's press-conference wording, projections, minutes, market pricing, or later revisions.
- If the September 2026 FOMC meeting is postponed or canceled, resolve N/A unless a substitute official decision release for that meeting is issued.
Marchés ouverts
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume total
- 997 k €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2 k €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting? doit être résolu le 16 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee lowers the target range for the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in the statement issued for the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting.