Will the FDA approve a psychedelic-assisted therapy for a mental disorder by 2027?
Santé et médecineOne-Off2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 66.4%
Non 66.4%Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète5 oct. 24, 02:42 UTC2 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
KalshiWill the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use before 2028?
KalshiWill MDMA-assisted therapy for PTSD be approved by the FDA before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028 end, will there be AI-assisted therapy, where therapists visually explore a patient's thoughts/memories?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030, will the FDA approve any drug in combination with a checkpoint blockade therapy that substantially reduces immune escape?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
KalshiRègles
https://www.science.org/content/article/fda-rejected-mdma-assisted-ptsd-therapy-other-psychedelics-firms-intend-avoid-fate
- Resolves YES if any currently known psychedelic substance (as of October 4th, 2024) is FDA approved for any category of mental disorder by January 1st 2027.
- The caveat is mainly to avoid the possibility that any subsequent drug development produces a treatment for a mental disorder that is later found out to have psychedelic effects.
- Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market will resolve as N/A if the FDA is abolished before January 1st 2027.
