Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026?
Middle EastOne-OffRussia / UkraineChinaLatin America6moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.5%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète11 avr. 26, 16:46 UTC31 mars 27, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if South Africa's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.
- If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.
- If South Africa's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
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- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-us-become-more-authoritari
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-united-states-become-more-QNC56OL95y
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2027.
- Comment Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if South Africa's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report.