Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.9%
Prévisionnistes
74
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
6 janv. 26, 05:55 UTC2 mars 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill India become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketVidantaWorld Mexico Open Winner
KalshiRègles
This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Venezuela's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report (which has yet to be published, but should come out in early 2026).
- If Venezuela's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.
- @/cash/will-the-world-become-more-authorit-2R20yhg9dh
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-us-become-more-authoritari
- 🇺🇸 @/cash/will-the-united-states-become-more-QNC56OL95y
- 🇨🇳 @/cash/will-china-become-more-authoritaria-tQRh2Cq2Rq