Will someone be held accountable for Sydney's asbestos contamination crisis?
Crime & JusticeOne-OffSociety & Culture5mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 84.6%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète20 févr. 24, 00:55 UTC27 févr. 27, 22:26 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Sydney Metro exceed 70,000,000 trips taken in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Austin LessWrong's 2026 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place?
Manifold MarketsWhere will Mathcamp 2027 be held?
Manifold MarketsWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
In the past few months a large number of public sites in Sydney Australia, including children's playgrounds and hospitals have been found to be contaminated with asbestos, mixed in with the landscaping mulch.
- A criminal investigation has been started.
- Will someone be convicted as a result?
- Market will extend as necessary.
- First order convictions are good enough, even if overturned in appeal court
- https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-68302052
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 10,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 25,8 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt25%
- October 31-2.5pt11%
- September 30-0.6pt3%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- John Brennan-1.0pt52%
- Leon Black31%
- Anthony Fauci-4.0pt25%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+23.0pt76.5%
- 60+-23.0pt13.3%
- <20-1.4pt8.2%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWho will be arrested before 2027?
- John Brennan27%
- Mahmoud Khalil+0.5pt19%
- James Clapper12%
+21 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETSBF released from custody in 2026?
- No-0.1pt98%
- Yes+0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- 398,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 k €
- Jimmy Lai released by which date?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Jack Doherty Prison Time?
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will someone be held accountable for Sydney's asbestos contamination crisis? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 85% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will someone be held accountable for Sydney's asbestos contamination crisis? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will someone be held accountable for Sydney's asbestos contamination crisis? doit être résolu le 27 février 2027.
- Comment Will someone be held accountable for Sydney's asbestos contamination crisis? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : In the past few months a large number of public sites in Sydney Australia, including children's playgrounds and hospitals have been found to be contaminated with asbestos, mixed in with the landscaping mulch.