PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 95%
Qualite du marche
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
315,2 €
Liquidité
10,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
4.8% / 4.9%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
24 févr. 26, 1:2831 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes5%
Tendance du volume
$3592 juil.25j de données27 juil.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Sam Bankman-Fried is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If Sam Bankman-Fried is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting Sam Bankman-Fried to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
- Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.