Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle EastChinaLatin America4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 82.5%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard10 févr. 24, 16:22 UTC1 mars 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Saudi Arabia has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the Saudi State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different years:
- @/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w (this question)
- @/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w-dec3b5e7dd7f
- Different countries:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2031.
- Comment Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Saudi Arabia has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.