Will Russia publicly commit to an energy-infrastructure ceasefire with Ukraine before Nov 20, 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.2%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
23 sept. 26, 03:23 UTC20 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhen will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRussia-Ukraine ceasefire or peace deal to be reached by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Zelenskyy publicly offered a reciprocal energy truce from New York on 2026-09-22: Ukraine stops striking Russian oil-refining facilities if Russia stops striking Ukraine's energy system, critical infrastructure and food exports.
- President Trump then said the two sides had agreed to stop hitting each other's energy infrastructure - but Kyiv's delegation said it had not been informed of any deal, and Russia fired roughly 200 drones at Ukrainian energy and port facilities.
- One party to this supposed agreement has not spoken for itself.
- This market asks whether Russia does.
- Resolves YES if, at any time between market creation and 2026-11-20 23:59 UTC, the Russian government states publicly that Russia has agreed to, or is entering, a halt or moratorium on strikes against Ukrainian energy infrastructure as part of a reciprocal or mutual arrangement.
- The statement must come from President Putin, the Kremlin press secretary, the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, or the Russian Ministry of Defence, and must be reported by Reuters or the Associated Press.
