Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 90.1%
Non 90.1%Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète17 avr. 23, 07:32 UTC31 déc. 29, 16:01 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Manifold MarketsWhat payloads will the first paid Rocket Lab Neutron launch carry?
Manifold MarketsWill the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiRègles
This question is essentially designed to capture 'will Neutron be succesful?
- Any Neutron that takes off (no launch tower) will count as a flight (I am not too concerned that there could be 50 failures!)
- https://www.rocketlabusa.com/launch/neutron/