Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2027 or later 96.3%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète20 mars 24, 02:22 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiWhat payloads will the first paid Rocket Lab Neutron launch carry?
Manifold MarketsWill Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?
KalshiRègles
As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.
- As of May 2024, Rocket Lab is now targeting 2025.
- Answers will resolve as YES if Neutron lifts off and clears the pad before the respective dates given.
- A successful remainder of the flight is not necessary.
- The flight does not need to be on an orbital trajectory.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2027 or later à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.