Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.6%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 04:30 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump flee to Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin flee Russia before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin flee to the PRC before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Putin leaves Russia, under circumstances that can reasonably be considered 'fleeing' (not a normal diplomatic visit, ongoing power struggle, alternate leader in place in Moscow etc)
- Otherwise resolves NO
- Update 2026-01-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there are multiple Putin impersonators or body doubles, the market will resolve based on the real Putin's actions, not those of any impersonators.