Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.2%
Prévisionnistes
85
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète26 juin 23, 18:57 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will William, Prince of Wales ever be crowned King of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsWill Prince William become king by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Prince William and Kate Middleton divorce before King Charles stops being King of the UK?
Manifold MarketsWill Prince William have a fourth child before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext leader out of power before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Prince William is heir to the throne of Britain.
- If by December 31, 2026, Prince William is crowned the first King of Britain after Charles's reign, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- If by December 31, 2026, Prince William is allowed to be crowned King of England but chooses to pass on the responsibility to a younger member of the royal family, this question will resolve to "No".
- Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on coronation, not ascension to the throne.
- Prince William must be crowned by December 31, 2026 for this to resolve YES.