Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
One-OffIAEntreprises et affaires4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
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30
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
5 oct. 23, 21:51 UTC26 déc. 30, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US ban open-weight AI models, and what happens to OpenAI + Anthropic's valuation if it does?
Manifold MarketsManifold markets next valuation > $20m if announced by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
I saw this tweet by Pedro Domingos and thought to myself, "one of those things is an implicit prediction."
- [image]Update 2025-04-03 (PST) Baseline Valuations for 2023:
- Anthropic: An accepted valuation of $18.4 billion from its December 2023 fundraising round.
- OpenAI: An accepted valuation of $80 billion from its secondary sale initiated in October 2023 (accepted in February 2024).
- These values will be used as the 2023 benchmarks for resolving the market.
