Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 57.8%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 janv. 26, 21:35 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a manifold.markets website be blocked in Brazil in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill manifold markets be referenced in a Simpson's episode by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Manifold Markets announces a funding round (Series A or later) with a post-money valuation exceeding $20 million.
- Resolution requires official announcement from Manifold or verified reporting by major tech news outlets (TechCrunch, Crunchbase, PitchBook, etc.).
- The funding round must close for the valuation to count.
- The market resolves NO if Manifold Markets announced a funding round with a post-money valuation less than $20 million.
- The market resolves N/A if no funding announcement is made by Dec 31st 2026.
