Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 60.7%
Non 60.7%Prévisionnistes
57
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard16 févr. 24, 05:22 UTC31 déc. 39, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI be one of the top 10 most valuable public companies in the world at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US government force another frontier AI model shutdown for allied users by mid-2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Ilya Sutskever be replaced by a body double?
Manifold MarketsIn 2030, will the government of Syria be better described as being closer to that of the UAE or Afghanistan?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Based on Market Capitalisation, will OpenAI be in the top 5 most valuable companies at any point before 2040?
- Based on speculation around their upcoming funding round in Dec 2023, OpenAI could be currently valued at $100 billion
- Currently the top 5 is:
- Microsoft ~3T
- Apple ~2.8T
- Saudi Aramco ~2T
