Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 nov. 2026, 19:43 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
28 déc. 23, 13:01 UTC1 janv. 31, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This question seeks to predict the political and socio-economic stability of North Korea, specifically focusing on whether the country will experience a collapse of its current regime or governmental structure before the end of the year 2030.
- For this question, "collapse" is defined as a significant and observable breakdown in the current governing framework, which could manifest in several ways, including but not limited to:
- Major Overhaul in Leadership: A complete change in the top leadership, not following the established line of succession, due to internal upheaval, coup, revolution, or other extraordinary political changes.
- Severe Economic Breakdown: A catastrophic economic failure that leads to a breakdown of internal order, resulting in a humanitarian crisis or necessitating international intervention.
- Large-scale Civil Unrest: Widespread civil disorder or an uprising that effectively disrupts the current governmental control and leads to a change in the regime.
- External Intervention: An intervention by foreign powers that significantly alters or displaces the current governmental structure.