Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.2%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète15 sept. 23, 23:30 UTC2 janv. 33, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will North and South Korea be reunified any time through 2043
Manifold MarketsWill North and South Korea engage in direct talks by which date?
PolymarketWill North and South Korea be unified under a single Korean government by the end of the century?
Manifold MarketsNorth-/South Korea, what happens till 2030?
Manifold MarketsFederal land ownership in Nevada is below 80% any time through 2032
Manifold MarketsLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
reunified implies all of these: There is a single governing body for the majority of the land controlled by the two regimes in 2023.
- There is no internal border stopping movement and trade.
- There is only one international representative for the new unified country at the UN.