Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.2%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète15 sept. 23, 23:30 UTC2 janv. 33, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by which date?
PolymarketWill North and South Korea be unified under a single Korean government by the end of the century?
Manifold MarketsNorth-/South Korea, what happens till 2030?
Manifold MarketsParis gets a North-South TGV spine by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
PolymarketWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketRègles
reunified implies all of these: There is a single governing body for the majority of the land controlled by the two regimes in 2023.
- There is no internal border stopping movement and trade.
- There is only one international representative for the new unified country at the UN.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 363 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Volume total
- 9,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 245,5 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 62,8 M €
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will North and South Korea be reunified any time through 2032 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will North and South Korea be reunified any time through 2032 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will North and South Korea be reunified any time through 2032 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2033.
- Comment Will North and South Korea be reunified any time through 2032 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : reunified implies all of these: There is a single governing body for the majority of the land controlled by the two regimes in 2023.