Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitique3mois
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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 15:22 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 26%+1.0pt
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
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Liquidité
3,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
23.0% / 28.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
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Variation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
5 nov. 25, 19:24 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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0%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by the named outcome, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
- Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
- The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
