Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 62.8%
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2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard19 avr. 26, 20:48 UTC19 avr. 31, 20:41 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will my new Zowie mouse survive five years?
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PolymarketRègles
Will my new Jura C9 automatic coffee maker survive five years without any major defects? I will resolve NO when I have to bring it to a shop for repairs at any point in the next five years.
- If it is still working in five years, on the 19th of April, 2031, I will resolve YES.