Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?
One-OffTechIASociété et culture2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 76.5%
Prévisionnistes
220
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 mars 24, 17:29 UTC14 mars 29, 14:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be more software engineers (the kind that write code, e.g. Python or C or JavaScript code) in 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill “woke (topic)” be more popular in the US on Google Trends five years from now than today?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?
Manifold MarketsWhen will American software engineers start to face significant disemployment?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsEliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030
Manifold MarketsRègles
François Chollet tweeted (2024-03-14) https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1767935813646716976
- Prediction: there will be more software engineers (the kind that write code, e.g. Python or C or JavaScript code) in five years than there are today.
- Will this be the case?
- Update 2025-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Full-Time Professional Software Engineers
- Counts refer exclusively to individuals who work as full-time professional software engineers (i.e. those writing code in languages such as Python, C, or JavaScript, among others).
- Part-time, hobbyist, or non-professional developers are not included.
