Will Minimax-H3 become unavailable on HuggingFace in any state in the US before 2027?
EuropeOne-Off3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69.5%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète5 août 26, 05:39 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Wikipedia be unavailable in the UK before 2027 due to the OSA?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump add a 51st state to the US?
KalshiIf Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, the official model repository for MiniMax-H3 on Hugging Face (located at huggingface.co/MiniMaxAI/MiniMax-H3) becomes technically unavailable to access or download from any state within the United States.
- "Unavailable" includes meeting any of the following conditions (or something substantially similar):
- The repository is deleted, taken down, or set to private.
- Hugging Face or the repository owner implements IP-based geo-blocking that actively prevents users in any specific US state (or the US nationwide) from loading the repository page or downloading the model weights.
- A user in an affected US state receives a blocking screen, a "not available in your region" notice, or a standard HTTP error (such as 403 Forbidden or 451 Unavailable for Legal Reasons) when attempting to access the repository or download the files from a local IP address (without a VPN).
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 494,6 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 809,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 123,4 k €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Minimax-H3 become unavailable on HuggingFace in any state in the US before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Minimax-H3 become unavailable on HuggingFace in any state in the US before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Minimax-H3 become unavailable on HuggingFace in any state in the US before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Minimax-H3 become unavailable on HuggingFace in any state in the US before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria