KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 89%
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
66,5 €
Liquidité
19,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
8.1% / 11.0%
Écart
2.9 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
13 déc. 24, 18:30 UTC20 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
KalshiWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term?
Manifold MarketsWill life expectancy in any state of the US reach 85 years before end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketRègles
If the United States adds another state before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump add a 51st state to the US? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump add a 51st state to the US? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump add a 51st state to the US? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump add a 51st state to the US? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States adds another state before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.