Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 88%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète13 mai 26, 16:12 UTC1 janv. 27, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketHighest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketWill Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
Manifold Marketsgoogle gemini 4.0 release by
Manifold MarketsWill Google Gemini hack a company during testing before Gemini 3.5 Pro/Gemini 4 Pro gets released?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if, by 2026-12-31 23:59 PT, an official Microsoft source says that Microsoft Excel's Agent Mode, Copilot in Excel, or a direct renamed successor inside Excel supports selecting Google Gemini or a Gemini-family model to create, edit, analyze, or reason over workbooks.
- Qualifying official sources include Microsoft Support, the Microsoft 365 Blog, Microsoft Tech Community posts by Microsoft staff, Microsoft release notes, or Microsoft 365 admin/message-center documentation that is publicly visible or verifiably quoted.
- A public preview, Frontier feature, staged rollout, or commercial-only tenant feature counts if Microsoft says Gemini is selectable in Excel's agentic/Copilot workflow by the deadline.
- Resolves NO if Excel's agentic/Copilot workflow still only supports Microsoft/OpenAI/Anthropic models, or if Gemini support exists only in Google Workspace, third-party Excel add-ins, Copilot Studio agents outside Excel, generic Microsoft 365 Copilot chat outside Excel, leaks, rumors, or unaffiliated wrappers.
- A plan to add Gemini after the deadline is not enough unless Microsoft says support is available or rolling out by the deadline.
- Creation source check: Microsoft Support currently says Agent Mode in Excel uses the latest OpenAI models by default and lets subscribers switch to the latest Anthropic models using the model picker; a separate Microsoft Support page says Agent Mode in Excel supports Claude models.
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if, by 2026-12-31 23:59 PT, an official Microsoft source says that Microsoft Excel's Agent Mode, Copilot in Excel, or a direct renamed successor inside Excel supports selecting Google Gemini or a Gemini-family model to create, edit, analyze, or reason over workbooks.