Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 63.1%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète19 févr. 26, 22:47 UTC31 mars 30, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will McArthur River 2027 production (100% basis) exceed 18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2026 production (100% basis) exceed 16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2030 production (100% basis) exceed 24.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2028 production (100% basis) exceed 20.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market estimates McArthur River's 2029 production (100% basis).
- The market settles on March 31, 2030 (3 months after year-end to allow for quarterly reporting).
- At settlement, an LLM will be asked to estimate McArthur River's production (100% basis) for 2029 using the trailing 15-month window excluding the last 3 months.
- Measurement window: January 1, 2029 through December 31, 2029
- YES if: 2029 production (100% basis) ≥22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
- NO if: 2029 production (100% basis) <22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2030.
- Comment Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market estimates McArthur River's 2029 production (100% basis).