Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.6%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 août 23, 03:57 UTC2 janv. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2027?
Manifold MarketsEV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWill we get ASI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
anywhere in the world -- the US will take time due to the FDA
- commercially means not an artisan selling a one-off on ebay
- LK99 has already been shown to have 0 resistance at 110K, 100K higher than the next most cost-effective superconductor and well above the boiling point of liquid nitrogen, 77K. see https://twitter.com/Andercot/status/1686805961124855810?s=20
Marchés ouverts
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 36,7 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+2.0pt97%
- Above 6000-6.0pt50%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 931,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,4 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt56%
- September-10.0pt32%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 20277%
- December 31, 2026+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- 88,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,4 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 974,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 k €
POLYMARKETHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- 35 to 4946%
- 50 or more25%
- Fewer than 201%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 18,2 k €
- Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- Screwworm National Emergency declared by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98.6% au 25 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2028? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : anywhere in the world -- the US will take time due to the FDA