Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 79.6%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 02:38 UTC31 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 70 percent on March 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 35 percent on March 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 55 percent on March 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
PolymarketRègles
Description: CATL, the world's leading EV battery manufacturer, has promised that its next-generation Naxtra sodium-ion battery technology will be ready for large-scale deployment by the end of 2026.
- This includes applications in passenger electric vehicles (EVs), with claimed features like an energy density of 175 Wh/kg, over 500 km (310 miles) of range, fast charging (e.g., 520 km in 5 minutes in some variants), improved cold-weather performance (-40°C to 70°C), enhanced safety, and lower costs compared to traditional lithium-ion batteries.
- The battery has already passed China's GB 38031-2025 safety certification in September 2025, effective July 1, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, at least one consumer-available EV model using CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery is shipped to customers (e.g., deliveries begin, as confirmed by official CATL announcements, partner automaker reports, or reputable industry sources like Electrek, Reuters, or EV-focused media). "Ship" means commercial availability and customer deliveries, not just prototypes or limited pilots.
- Resolves NO if no such EV ships by the deadline, or if the technology is delayed/canceled without deployment in an EV.
- Resolves N/A if CATL clarifies or retracts the promise in a way that invalidates the market (e.g., no EV application intended).
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 95,4 k €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+0.6pt97%
- December 31-0.3pt97%
- September 3094%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73%
- Yes-0.5pt27%
- Volume total
- 356,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,4 k €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 10,6 k €
POLYMARKETHow many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Greater than 8-3.0pt78%
- 8-5.5pt11%
- 7+1.2pt5%
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+8.5pt47.3%
- 25°C+7.0pt24.6%
- 27°C-8.0pt14.6%
+8 résultats de plus
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026? doit être résolu le 31 janvier 2027.
- Comment EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Description: CATL, the world's leading EV battery manufacturer, has promised that its next-generation Naxtra sodium-ion battery technology will be ready for large-scale deployment by the end of 2026.