Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard7 sept. 25, 22:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, by 23:59:59 UTC on December 31, 2026, a new, commercially available rechargeable sodium‑ion battery product (cell, module, or pack) is publicly offered or sold at a price ≤ US$10 per kWh, excluding taxes, duties, and shipping.
- Compute $/kWh as listed unit price divided by the product’s nominal nameplate energy (Wh).
- Acceptable evidence: (a) an official price page or catalog from the manufacturer or an authorized distributor, (b) a publicly posted government procurement/award or signed contract showing the unit price and capacity, or (c) reputable trade press linking to such documentation.
- A snapshot captured by the Internet Archive’s Wayback Machine on/before the deadline must be provided for any webpage evidence.
- If priced in a non‑USD currency, convert using the ECB reference rate for the listing/award date.
