Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.6%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète3 août 23, 03:42 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be fresh fruit/vegetables advertised+verified as being sold "microplastics-free" in any supermarket by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Parsol Shield sunscreen be sold in the USA through Amazon to consumers by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAdult tooth regrowth commercially available in 2035?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiRègles
anywhere in the world -- the US will take time due to the FDA
- commercially means not an artisan selling a one-off on ebay
- LK99 has already been shown to have 0 resistance at 110K, 100K higher than the next most cost-effective superconductor and well above the boiling point of liquid nitrogen, 77K. see https://twitter.com/Andercot/status/1686805961124855810?s=20
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 36,7 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+2.0pt97%
- Above 6000-6.0pt50%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 931,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,4 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt56%
- September-10.0pt32%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 20277%
- December 31, 2026+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- 88,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,4 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 974,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 k €
POLYMARKETHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- 35 to 4946%
- 50 or more25%
- Fewer than 201%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 18,2 k €
- Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- Screwworm National Emergency declared by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97.6% au 25 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2027? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : anywhere in the world -- the US will take time due to the FDA