Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68.3%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète27 juin 25, 03:44 UTC31 déc. 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill human tooth regrowth clinical trials succeed?
Manifold MarketsWill a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
KalshiWill California decriminalize and/or legalize MDMA before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a treatment enabling adult human tooth regrowth becomes commercially available in any country by December 31, 2035. "Commercially available" is defined as the treatment being offered to the general public through licensed dental practitioners or medical facilities.
- Verification will be based on official announcements from regulatory bodies, reputable medical institutions, or major news outlets.
- Research into adult tooth regeneration has progressed significantly.
- In 2023, Japanese scientists developed a drug targeting the USAG-1 protein, which inhibits tooth growth.
- Animal trials demonstrated successful tooth regrowth without significant side effects.
Marchés ouverts
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-0.9pt93%
- Yes+0.9pt7%
- Volume total
- 20,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 82,1 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt78%
- December 15,+1.5pt74%
- November 30,-1.0pt56%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume total
- 30,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 16 k €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 202868%
- Before May 1, 202748%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt44%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
POLYMARKETSenate passes Clarity Act by which date?
- October 31-1.9pt3%
- October 92%
- October 2-0.3pt1%
+1 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt30%
- Before Jul 1, 202719%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-2.0pt14%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,2 M €
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Oura officially announce an IPO?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Adult tooth regrowth commercially available in 2035? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 68.3% au 24 septembre 2026.
- Quand Adult tooth regrowth commercially available in 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Adult tooth regrowth commercially available in 2035? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2035.
- Comment Adult tooth regrowth commercially available in 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria