Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 04:02 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 65%
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16
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète11 déc. 24, 15:42 UTC31 déc. 34, 00:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By 2035, what whacky types of cultivated/lab-grown meat will be commercially available?
Manifold MarketsHIV Vaccine fully approved by FDA and commercially available before 2035?
Manifold Markets1 million qubits when?
Manifold MarketsIn which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market tracks the development of large-scale quantum computers.
- Resolution requires official announcement and commercial availability of a quantum computer with >1M qubits, verified by major tech publications.
- https://quantumcomputingforbusiness.com/essentials/timelines/
