Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.6%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète10 févr. 26, 23:47 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
will 2026 bring a offical breakthrough in the Kurt Cobain death investigation?
Manifold MarketsAlcatraz reopened in 2026?
PolymarketWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItDid Donald Trump have gay sex?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Articles published today in multiple news outlets have re-opened the debate about Kurt Cobain's cause of death in 1994.
- Officially ruled a suicide, theorists have long speculated (insisted) he was murdered.
- From Newsweek:
- [image]From Daily Mail:
- [image]As of Tuesday, Cobain's case has not been reopened, despite requests from the independent researchers.
- "King County Medical Examiner’s Office worked with the local law enforcement agency, conducted a full autopsy, and followed all of its procedures in coming to the determination of the manner of death as a suicide," a King County Medical Examiner's Office spokesperson told the Daily Mail. "Our office is always open to revisiting its conclusions if new evidence comes to light, but we’ve seen nothing to date that would warrant re-opening of this case and our previous determination of death."
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 10,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 25,8 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt25%
- October 31-2.5pt11%
- September 30-0.6pt3%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- John Brennan-1.0pt52%
- Leon Black31%
- Anthony Fauci-4.0pt25%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+23.0pt76.5%
- 60+-23.0pt13.3%
- <20-1.4pt8.2%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWho will be arrested before 2027?
- John Brennan27%
- Mahmoud Khalil+0.5pt19%
- James Clapper12%
+21 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETSBF released from custody in 2026?
- No-0.1pt98%
- Yes+0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- 398,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 k €
- Jimmy Lai released by which date?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Jack Doherty Prison Time?
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Kurt Cobain's death case be reopened? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Kurt Cobain's death case be reopened? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Kurt Cobain's death case be reopened? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Kurt Cobain's death case be reopened? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Articles published today in multiple news outlets have re-opened the debate about Kurt Cobain's cause of death in 1994.