Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
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Non 87.4%
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète9 févr. 24, 13:31 UTC1 mars 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
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KalshiRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Japan has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the Japanese State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different countries:
- @/RemNi/will-japan-acquire-nuclear-weapons (this question)
- @/RemNi/will-australia-acquire-nuclear-weap
- @/RemNi/will-south-korea-acquire-nuclear-we
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2031.
- Comment Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Japan has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.