Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète15 juil. 25, 16:48 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketRègles
A law affirming this status or sufficiently clear case law will count for a YES resolution.
- Lack of law forbidding it will count as NO unless there are examples of that government allowing and recognizing human-AI marriages in practice.
- Civil partnerships or other "marriage by another name" statuses will count as NO for resolution.