Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitiqueÉlectionSociety & Culture3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 95.2%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète23 août 24, 05:12 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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ForecastExRègles
This resolves YES if
- The Supreme Court does not overturn Obergefell v Hodges or
- A federal law is passed that protects gay marriage in all states and no federal court has legally halted gay marriages in any state.
- A state law being passed that outlaws gay marriage resolves YES as long as the federal protection continues and no federal court halts gay marriages in a particular state.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This resolves YES if