Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
One-OffPolitique américainePolitiqueÉlectionSociété et culture2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 94.8%
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 38 minutes
23 août 24, 05:12 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
PolymarketWill polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win every US House election in 2026 in Colorado?
Manifold MarketsWill human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Singapore recognise gay marriage by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
KalshiRègles
This resolves YES if
- The Supreme Court does not overturn Obergefell v Hodges or
- A federal law is passed that protects gay marriage in all states and no federal court has legally halted gay marriages in any state.
- A state law being passed that outlaws gay marriage resolves YES as long as the federal protection continues and no federal court halts gay marriages in a particular state.